Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Lenoir-Rhyne

Check that. Five minutes later, and with the addition of David McClure, Duke finds themselves up by 20.

Threes aren't falling super-often, reminding us that college basketball has a new 3-pt line distance this year. The long ball is so important for Duke, it will be interesting to see if the new distance affects them at all.

Lenoir-Rhyne

In the early going, Duke is playing poorly against Lenoir-Rhyne. It's tied at 13, and Coach K is pissed, saying that the boys are not ready to play. They're bending at the waist to pick up balls instead of diving on the floor, something Greg Paulus is hopefully going to remedy as he gets brought in.

What I don't need on my birthday, is Duke not playing their hardest.

Go Duke.

Sunday, November 2, 2008

No Way to Win

It is ironic that the first post of the 2008-2009 season should largely not be about Duke, but the news of the moment is the first-in-history unanimous selection of the North Carolina Tar Heels as the preseason number one team in the AP, Coaches, and ACC polls.

No doubt, North Carolina is an incredible college basketball team. You have four or five guys who could have gone in the first round of last year's NBA draft, and they're all back for another year, a la the Florida Gators. Err...well...not exactly. See, the Gators WON the title the first time through and returned to win it AGAIN.

The Tar Heels, on the other hand, got embarrassed by Kansas in the semifinals last year, due not to Kansas' overwhelming talent, but to the fact that North Carolina came out flat. They came out flat in one of the most important games in any of their careers. They're so good, they almost made up for it, but it wasn't good enough.

And so, this year is a dream year for a Duke fan. People want to make the argument that North Carolina is not only great but also has new incentive this year since they got their collective ass handed to them last year. You call it incentive. I'll call it crushing pressure. North Carolina's preseason is 33 games long, and the only game of their regular season is the NCAA final, and they're not even guaranteed to get there. Imagine playing 30 plus exhibition games, hoping that you'll be let into the regular season. Granted, they don't have to win each exhibition game, but every one that they do win will be no reason to celebrate. And every loss (and I'm predicting at least one, likely coming in the first three weeks) casts more doubt on their ability to make it to the Final, and win it.

That kind of pressure is going to suck the joy out of their year. Well, it'll suck whatever joy they pretend is still available, anyway. Because even if they meet their goal of a National Championship this year, they miss what their ultimate goal was: to realize their potential. They have ALREADY FAILED to do that, in handing Kansas the title last year, so there is no way for them to ultimately succeed in 2009.

The Tar Heels are already failures. Failures. This year is about staying only Failures and not becoming Absolute Failures. Can even the great Tyler "Beaker" Hansbrough keep his intensity up knowing that he has to generate an undefeated season just to remain a failure? He may. But then, as a Duke fan, so what? Even he does, he's succeeded only in keeping the Tar Heels and Roy Williams from winning the Greatest Choke In Sports History title.

And that's fine.

Monday, February 4, 2008

2 v 3

On February 6th, not only will we see the best rivalry in sports renewed, but it will be a match up of the 2nd and 3rd ranked teams in the country.

Duke and North Carolina hold the two and three spots in both the coaches and AP polls. The only thing that could make this any better is if they were both undefeated and ranked one and two. This game is going to be epic.

Duke has played a somewhat more difficult ACC schedule than UNC so far, and they have come through without a loss, whereas UNC, the pre-season favorite for ACC dominance, has already dropped a game to one of Duke's victims.

This in no way means that Duke is favored going into enemy territory on Wednesday, but they are certainly in better position to compete with a fantastic Tar Heels team than they were last year. Particularly with a defense that actually becomes more suffocating as the game wears on.

UNC will see the best defense they've faced this year, and they will be trying to still an offense that has shown that it can post strong numbers - without a dominant big man.

Duke will see the best defensive big man they've seen this year in Hansbrough, and an offense that can simply light it up.

Prediction: Duke 81 UNC 78

GO DUKE!!!!

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Duke v UNC, Round 1

February 6th is fast approaching, the date of Duke's first matchup with the Tar Heels. By the time they meet, they will likely be the number two and three teams in the country, assuming Carolina beats Florida State today.

In any case, they will be one and two in the ACC, Duke with no losses and UNC with probably only one. Fairly equal records, on the surface, but are they really?

Duke's 7-0 includes wins against the 3rd, 4th, and 5th teams in the ACC. Carolina has beaten number four Clemson, but lost to number five Maryland, and the rest of their wins have come against bottom-of-the-barrel ACC teams.

Of course, none of that really matters when these two teams meet. Regardless of the rest of the season, they always seem to make a passionate contest out of their head-to-head matchups.

Go Duke

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Duke completed a route of Virginia Tech tonight, and finally proved something to me: Duke can weather a storm.

I should have been convinced of that by now, but Duke had a whole string of poor second halves to begin the season, winning several games, seemingly, only because of fantastic starts.

But over the past few games the boys in blue have figured out how to keep scoring while their defense remains suffocating.

Duke is still without a go-to big man, and will remain so, even after the return of Zoubek. But they have figured out how to mitigate that weakness, at least against teams who themselves do not have a dominant inside presence.

Are they the third best team in the country? That's a tough call, but they have about as much claim to that position as anyone else does right now.

Kansas and Memphis are pretty clearly number 1 and 2. The problem is, Memphis plays such a weak conference schedule, that there's no way for them to lose here on out, all but guaranteeing that the number one slot will be occupied by the Tigers for the rest of the season. Kansas is going to play a lot of great Big 12 teams and almost has to drop one. Will it be Baylor? Texas? K-State? Whose to say?

My question is: does Duke have to lose a game from here on out? The most obvious answer is yes, and to North Carolina. But UNC is playing terrible defense right now, allowing over 80 points to Miami, Georgia Tech, UNC-Ashville, and Clemson. Duke's defense has only gotten better throughout the season. If Duke can score in the high 70's against UNC, we're looking at a potential upset in Chapel Hill.

If that happens, and Duke can handle Maryland, Georgia Tech, and NC State, the they have the chance at a number one ranking by virtue of a strong schedule. We'll see.

Not that it matters. What matters is the tournament, and the way Duke is playing right now, it looks like they can expect at least a 2 or a 3 seed, hopefully giving them the chance to advance deep.

Go Duke

Saturday, November 3, 2007

Duke vs Shaw

Some quick notes on the individual performances in Duke's 134-55 trouncing of Shaw:

The two high scorers were Kyle Singler and Demarcus Nelson.
Singler went 10-11 from the field, King 4-11.
The only player not to score double digits was Jordan Davidson, who did knock down two.

Point Guard watch: Greg Paulus played 22 minutes to Nolan Smith's 16. Paulus scored 10 points, going 3-7 from the field and 2-2 from the foul line. All four of his misses were from 3 point territory. Nolan Smith put in 11, but did it going 3-4 from the field, and 5-10 from the line, taking no 3pt shots. Each had a single steal. Similar assist numbers for both. Paulus out-rebounded Smith 5 to 2. And last, but certainly not least, Paulus turned the ball over three times, while Smith had no turnovers at all.

Round one is pretty much a draw, but I'd keep an eye on those turnover numbers. We could see a freshman starting point guard by mid-season.

Zoubek and King both pulled in 9 rebounds. Zoubek managed to go 5-6 from the field but had a team-high 4 turnovers. How many were travels, I do not know, but I would imagine a few of them.

Tonight is Barton College.

Go Duke.